Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 377.214190 427.786923 483.804853 550.660086 628.541595 716.717749 824.549814
2025-12-07 295.511598 360.269666 438.349393 540.224596 670.806145 834.144057 1056.404717
2025-12-14 252.158247 322.342035 411.854087 535.912893 705.803740 933.857652 1269.249326
2025-12-21 215.246019 285.259747 378.484242 513.904657 709.316351 986.964201 1422.193046
2025-12-28 199.402574 273.166252 375.374705 530.529349 765.827569 1118.978418 1708.353300
2026-01-04 187.981129 265.279233 376.299964 551.739899 830.306873 1270.432912 2050.185866
2026-01-11 173.494033 251.052284 365.895275 553.742430 864.145025 1377.233548 2336.111727
2026-01-18 157.760690 233.199554 347.848413 541.029760 871.512030 1439.935866 2554.061753
2026-01-25 144.613802 217.966623 332.138149 529.872234 879.271431 1503.176499 2782.992152
2026-02-01 138.380374 212.922489 331.933469 544.219836 932.724494 1655.514628 3214.994805
2026-02-08 129.947559 203.524228 323.598203 543.342453 958.054243 1758.155920 3564.522784
2026-02-15 121.588842 193.513220 313.251771 537.580195 973.114165 1842.281898 3890.192272
2026-02-22 115.331771 186.671419 307.953251 540.890983 1007.043429 1971.855643 4353.625478
2026-03-01 107.597556 176.702043 296.336744 531.142926 1013.697561 2045.254908 4700.581781
2026-03-08 101.448064 169.006346 288.083247 526.886174 1030.905237 2144.105366 5134.803408
2026-03-15 93.466032 157.470931 271.892173 505.309980 1008.539284 2149.538083 5323.267269
2026-03-22 91.220205 156.108257 274.417373 521.609869 1070.745699 2363.171558 6142.387465
2026-03-29 89.644078 155.830725 278.921284 542.403739 1145.886167 2621.869978 7169.187736
2026-04-05 85.931338 151.276003 274.765607 544.366792 1177.545956 2776.266482 7922.449321
2026-04-12 80.899246 143.874799 264.439614 531.904339 1173.068201 2834.944464 8383.216394
2026-04-19 76.419343 137.254925 255.197963 520.965627 1170.991344 2900.014649 8886.396369
2026-04-26 74.813106 136.126459 256.987054 535.031716 1233.571261 3157.489166 10157.007998
2026-05-03 71.841866 132.099841 252.490625 534.171583 1257.586498 3308.241899 11084.927472